Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002422 0.002572 0.002733 0.002919 0.003128 0.003357 0.003631
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002227 0.002438 0.002677 0.002970 0.003326 0.003750 0.004307
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002060 0.002305 0.002593 0.002964 0.003441 0.004052 0.004931
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001914 0.002176 0.002493 0.002916 0.003486 0.004262 0.005471
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001847 0.002132 0.002488 0.002982 0.003682 0.004700 0.006449
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001783 0.002085 0.002472 0.003026 0.003847 0.005120 0.007533
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001696 0.002001 0.002397 0.002978 0.003868 0.005311 0.008277
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001605 0.001905 0.002299 0.002887 0.003807 0.005354 0.008735
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001553 0.001856 0.002261 0.002878 0.003874 0.005627 0.009819
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001454 0.001741 0.002125 0.002712 0.003664 0.005358 0.009482
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001421 0.001712 0.002108 0.002725 0.003755 0.005673 0.010819
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001402 0.001702 0.002116 0.002775 0.003913 0.006158 0.013003
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001360 0.001660 0.002079 0.002755 0.003953 0.006423 0.014815
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001337 0.001644 0.002078 0.002795 0.004109 0.006996 0.018692
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001304 0.001610 0.002050 0.002786 0.004172 0.007372 0.022506
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001263 0.001566 0.002002 0.002742 0.004159 0.007547 0.025690
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001251 0.001561 0.002015 0.002801 0.004364 0.008401 0.038188
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001235 0.001550 0.002016 0.002840 0.004533 0.009239 0.061223
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001201 0.001512 0.001974 0.002797 0.004515 0.009463 0.079938
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001161 0.001463 0.001912 0.002715 0.004400 0.009312 0.086803
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001140 0.001440 0.001892 0.002707 0.004455 0.009810 0.152756
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001089 0.001372 0.001797 0.002558 0.004165 0.008921 0.095158
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001074 0.001359 0.001789 0.002569 0.004257 0.009543 0.207164